There are many notes that need to be observed when BM places the percentage of presidential hopeful pairs in forthcoming elections. Anies’ to pair with anyone is always placed in a losing position, while Ganjar is paired with anyone will always win.
T is known that the Indonesian Political Indicators survey institute assesses that the discourse of the Puan-Anies duo from a qualitative perspective has the potential to become a complementary pair.
In his release, Burhanudin Muhtadi considered that the Puan-Anies pair was the ideal pair and it was agreed that they would be able to win one round of the presidential election and would complete the polarization of the 2014 and 2019 presidential elections.
Even though they consider this as an ideal and complementary pair, however this is a bit difficult to realize because the supporters may not necessarily agree.
This article will not discuss the polarization of the two groups of supporters of the candidates, let alone use the Political Indicators survey as a reference, but at least this could shed a light of information about Anies’ current position to be analyzed.
In various existing surveys, Political Indicator and several other survey institutions always place Anies in third position after Prabowo Subianto and Ganjar Pranowo. If Prabowo is in first place, then Ganjar is in second place, Anies is in third.
Likewise, if Ganjar is in first position, then Prabowo is placed in second position, and Anies is again in third position.
Almost none of the survey institutions dare to put Anies in the first position..
What does it mean? That not all survey institutions can act independently, because survey institutions work more to serve orders from the clients, the work owners.
What happened in the 2017 Jakarta gubernatorial election could be a reference.
The Ahok-Djarot pair has always been ahead of other pairs, especially Anies-Sand, as potrayed by survey institutions including Muhtadi’s.
But in reality, it turns out that Anies-Sandi is much more superior to the Ahok-Jarot pair. Anies won a doule-digit erosion.
The Jakarta gubernatorial election teaches us how to interpret the results of survey institutions’ publications. Especially what Muhtadi did, we can hear his views when he talks about post truth called the era of lies through his track record on YouTube.
In a videotape that went viral several years ago about how he convinced the masses with repeated lies with the term post truth. With a fiery spirit, Muhtadi believes that if a lie is uttered many times, especially if it is supported by “data” that is manipulated, then this will become a new truth that is to be believed by the public.
So interpreting what BM said in the release of its survey agency must be analyzed through a post truth tool of analysis.
There are many notes that need to be observed also when Muhtadi ‘determines’ the percentage of potential pairs. Anies pairs with anyone is always placed in a losing position, Ganjar is paired with anyone he will always win.
First, the survey is indeed carried out, but whether the sampling also properly represents the existing population is another matter. The survey results certainly cannot be denied because it is a fact. But it must be remembered that this fact can be shaped or worse manipulated to support what it wants.
Second, talk about facts, can’t we also submit comparative facts that doubt the results of the survey conducted by Muhtadi? For example, a survey conducted by Hensat through a Kedai Kopi, for example, when asked about the satisfaction of the people of Jakarta with Anies which reaches 83%, another fact that can be compared is that Anies’ presence in various places is always greeted with joy by the people and even the shouts ‘Anies the President’ are always heard.
Of course, these facts also cannot be denied, maybe people who don’t like Anies would argue it’s a setting fact, but can that many people be set up, even though making the settings costs huge money.
Does Anies have that much money to set up the communities, it is said that the government alone needs IDR 90 billion in funds through the state budget to pay for the buzzers whose job is to publish the government’s work. So it’s a bit difficult to understand if Anies or his volunteers then set it up.
Then what can be interpreted? For volunteers, Anies must see it as an ordinary piece of information without having to respond excessively, especially when it comes to bumps. Because indeed the expected intermediate target is the mental breakdown of Anies’ supporters.
Volunteers and supporters of Anies must see positively Burhan Muhtadi’s courage in placing Anies in a high electability position even though as Puan’s vice presidential candidate.
Muhtadi must know that Anies’ electability level in reality is very high compared to other presidential candidates. But placing Anies in the presidential position would be very Contrary to the expectations of the oligarchs and the incumbent, so we must understand that Anies was placed as vice presidential candidate for Puan is the most they can do, as results of their residual of honesty.
In the end, to conclude this article, I hope Anies’ supporters remain focused and enthusiastic that Anies’ electability is currently very high, so compromised assessment it is suggesting that Anies cannot become president, it is enough as a vice presidential candidate understandable.
Anies’ supporters and volunteers must stay focused and be more realistic in seeing the phenomena that exist with the belief that whoever the vice presidential candidate is, the president must be Anies Baswedan.
Convincing political parties and the people is a must, because the law stipulates that it is the people who can nominate the president and vice presidents who can guide Anies to get his ticket. The combination of supporting political parties that give a ticket and the necessary votes of the people to make an Anies’ presidency.
Isa Ansori, Columnist